Components of competitor's analysis (Porter, 1980)
Michael Porter presented a framework for
analyzing competitors. This framework is based on the following four key
aspects of a competitor:
A competitor analysis should include the more
important existing competitors as well as potential competitors such as those
firms that might enter the industry, for example, by extending their present
strategy or by vertically integrating.
1.
Competitor's
Current Strategy
The two main sources of information about a
competitor's strategy is what the competitor says and what it does. What a
competitor is saying about its strategy is revealed in:
·
Annual shareholder
reports
·
Reports filed to Govt
Agencies
·
Interviews with
analysts , statements by managers , Press releases
However, this stated strategy often differs
from what the competitor actually is doing. What the competitor is doing is
evident in where its cash flow is directed, such as in the following tangible
actions:
·
Hiring activity R
& D projects
·
Capital investments
·
Promotional campaigns
strategic partnerships
·
Mergers and
acquisitions
2. Competitor's
Objectives
Knowledge of a competitor's objectives
facilitates a better prediction of the competitor's reaction to different
competitive moves. For example, a competitor that is focused on reaching
short-term financial goals might not be willing to spend much money responding
to a competitive attack. Rather, such a competitor might favor focusing on the
products that hold positions that better can be defended. On the other hand, a
company that has no short term profitability objectives might be willing to
participate in destructive price competition in which neither firm earns a
profit.
Competitor objectives may be financial or
other types. Some examples include growth rate, market share, and technology
leadership. Goals may be associated with each hierarchical level of strategy -
corporate, business unit, and functional level.
The competitor's organizational structure
provides clues as to which functions of the company are deemed to be the more
important. For example, those functions that report directly to the chief
executive officer are likely to be given priority over those that report to a
senior vice president.
Other aspects of the competitor that
serve as indicators of its objectives include risk tolerance, management
incentives, backgrounds of the executives, composition of the board of directors,
legal or contractual restrictions, and any additional corporate-level goals
that may influence the competing business unit.
Whether the competitor is meeting its
objectives provides an indication of how likely it is to change its strategy.
3 Competitor's Assumptions
The assumptions that a
competitor's managers hold about their firm and their industry help to define
the moves that they will consider. For example, if in the past the industry
introduced a new type of product that failed, the industry executives may
assume that there is no market for the product. Such assumptions are not always
accurate and if incorrect may present opportunities. For example, new entrants
may have the opportunity to introduce a product similar to a previously
unsuccessful one without retaliation because incumbant firms may not take their
threat seriously. Honda was able to enter the U.S. motorcycle market with a
small motorbike because U.S. manufacturers had assumed that there was no market
for small bikes based on their past experience. A competitor's assumptions may
be based on a number of factors, including any of the following:
· Beliefs about its competitive position past experience with a product
· Regional factors industry trends rules of thumb
A thorough competitor
analysis also would include assumptions that a competitor makes about its own
competitors, and whether that assessment is accurate.
Knowledge of the
competitor's assumptions, objectives, and current strategy is useful in
understanding how the competitor might want to respond to a competitive attack.
However, its resources and capabilities determine its ability to respond
effectively.
A competitor's
capabilities can be analyzed according to its strengths and weaknesses in
various functional areas, as is done in a SWOT analysis. The competitor's
strengths define its capabilities. The analysis can be taken further to
evaluate the competitor's ability to increase its capabilities in certain
areas. A financial analysis can be performed to reveal its sustainable growth
rate.
Finally, since the
competitive environment is dynamic, the competitor's ability to react swiftly
to change should be evaluated. Some firms have heavy momentum and may continue
for many years in the same direction before adapting. Others are able to
mobilize and adapt very quickly. Factors that slow a company down include low
cash reserves, large investments in fixed assets, and an organizational
structure that hinders quick action.
5. Competitor Response Profile
Information from an analysis of the
competitor's objectives, assumptions, strategy, and capabilities can be
compiled into a response profile of possible moves that might be made by the
competitor. This profile includes both potential offensive and defensive moves.
The specific moves and their expected strength can be estimated using
information gleaned from the analysis.
The result of the competitor analysis should
be an improved ability to predict the competitor's behavior and even to influence
that behavior to the firm's advantage.
Kotler
identified four common reaction profiles among competitors:
1. The laid-back competitor:
Some competitors do not react quickly or strongly to a
given competitor move. They may feel that their customers are loyal; they may
be harvesting the business; they may be slow in noticing the initiative; they
may lack the funds to react. The firm must try to assess the reasons for the
competitor’s laid- back behaviour (Example: LIC vs ICICI Prudential and other
private sector insurance companies in early 2000).
2. The selective competitor:
A competitor might react to certain types of assault and
not to others. It might, for example, respond to price cuts in order to signal
that these are futile. But it might not respond to advertising expenditure
increase, believing this to be less threatening. Knowing what a key competitor
reacts to gives a clue as to the most feasible types of attack (Example:
detergent wars involving Surf and Ariel in 2007).
3. The tiger competitor:
This company reacts swiftly and strongly to any assault
on its terrain. Thus HUL (Brooke Bond division) does not let any tea brand come
easily into the national market. The annual turnover of the tea industry is
Rs10, 000 crore and branded tea now occupies 60 per cent of the market. Tata
and HUL have major share in the national market and regional players like AVT, Harrison
Malayalam, WaghBakri, and Goodrick are limited to certain pockets only.
A tiger competitor that once it allows local STG brands
(like PDS in Kerala) to flourish in the market its brands (like Brooke Bond
Three Roses, HUL’s Lipton and Kannan Devan of Tata Tea will lose their shares
and the defender is going to fight to the finish till it gains edge over
others.
4. The stochastic competitor:
Some competitors (like Airtel, Vodafone, Reliance, and
BSNL in the mobile phone service provider category) do not exhibit a
predictable reaction pattern. Such a competitor might or might not retaliate on
any particular occasion, and there is no way to forecast what it will do based
on its economic history, or anything else.
Henderson’s
comments on this have been summarized by Kotler in the following ways:
a. If competitors are nearly identical and
make their living in the same way, then their competitive equilibrium is
unstable (for example, very little or no service differentiation among GSM
service providers).
b. If a single major factor is critical then
competitive equilibrium is unstable (here the factor is talk time).
c. If multiple factors may be critical
factors, then it is possible for each competitor to have some advantage and be
differentially attractive to some customers. The more the multiple factors that
may provide an advantage, the more the number of competitors who can coexist.
Each competition has its competitive segment
defined by the preference for the factor trade-offs that it offers (here the
usage of WAP, MMS, GPRS are limited, hence very low percentage utilization of
value added services).
d. The fewer the number of competitive
variables that are critical, the fewer the number of competitors (here the
market is regulated by TRAI).
e. A ratio of 2:1 in market share between any
two competitors seems to be the equilibrium point at which it is neither
practical nor advantageous for either competitor to increase or decrease share
(still profitability and steady growth is yet to been witnessed in the market).
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